Rationale: Kincaid fits the new undersized pass-catching TE archetype with a best comparable player of Isaiah Likely. I will give my analysis for each round and hopefully you can start to see where fantasy players are valuing these rookies. At this point, it seems certain that Levis is a first-rounder in the NFL Draft, possibly even a top-10 pick. Devon Achane, RB Texas A&M8. Rationale: Since hell likely get limited touches, hell be a great play in best ball but tough to project week-to-week in seasonal leagues. Though his Combine Agility Score was not spectacular, he put on a show at this years Senior Bowl. Analysis: Another of the undersized, fast WRs that are taking over the NFL. 2020 Superflex Rookie Mock Draft (Collaboration) 2023 Pre-Draft Superflex Fantasy Rookie Rankings Hes been highly productive in all facets of the game, posting over 2,000 rushing yards and 20 scores the last two years and earned a 94th-percentile Target Share. Most teams picking 1.01 are probably not a Bijan away from contending; there is a reason they are picking 1.01. The one coming off the board just ahead of the other at 1.08 is USCs, Jordan Addison. Scroll to the bottom of the article for a spreadsheet with my Superflex, non-PPR, and tight end premium top 40s. Rationale: This years top RBs will have ample opportunity for significant NFL touches. Hes worth trying this late. And be sure to get the full picture of his dynasty outlook. Id have looked for RB shots here. Best Pick: Rashee Rice 3.03 Whats not like is he was always hurt, playing in just 34 games over five years. That should create mismatches all over the field. 4.02- Deuce Vaughn, RB, Kansas State Mayer, PlayerProfilers No. Id look to another RB here. Pickens certainly never gets drafted ahead of Wilson. There is a lot to unpack here. Some had great output but smaller samples. Rice produced 33.2-percent (96th-percentile) College Target Share. The -103 rushing yards he posted last year wont do. Sean Tucker, RB, Syracuse4. Here's the full order: Jordan Woodson - @Jordan_Woodson. But, hey, taking a guy that you might be able to start in the late second is fine. The NFL Draft will provide the last pieces to the puzzle in draft capital and landing spots, but lets go ahead and do a two-round dynasty rookie mock to gauge the landscape before the NFL Draft. He surprised a lot of folks when, after a shaky Senior Bowl week, he posted stunning athletic metrics at the NFL Combine. 3.05- DeWayne McBride, RB, UAB With the first overall pick, it has to be Texas RB Bijan Robinson. Again, SuperFlex changes the equation. Pickens is looking great in Steelers camp by all accounts, but we have not been seeing him go ahead of Moore much. If youre picking 1.01, you need to maximize the value of that asset, whether it is just taking Bijan or trading the pick. Obviously, draft capital is a massive part of the equation we are waiting to add to our analysis but consistently participating in mock drafts is another task offering us a data point. Hes not quite at Gibbs level in most things, but hes more well-rounded, making him a more significant threat to have a backfield to himself at the NFL level. I will highlight the selections of each round, offer some general takeaways, points of strategy, and some of my favorite values and picks. Id pass here. C.J. And, yes, hes garnered a massive 96th-percentile College Target Share. Hes also as solid a passer as youre going to find with an 89.7 (96th-percentile) College QBR and 9.8 (93rd-percentile) College YPA. Top 50 Dynasty Super Flex Rankings 1. In this action-packed episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, the trio Rich Dotson (@DynastyRich), Matt OHara (@DynastyMatt), and Jared Wackerly (@JaredWackerly) dive deep into the world of dynasty fantasy football to give you a winning edge in your 2023 rookie drafts. Stroud ran a 4.79 (64th-percentile) 40-yard dash. 2017. . 4.06- Jonathan Mingo, WR, Ole Miss Sure, Georgia had plenty of other options, but he should at least have been unstoppable in the red zone. Analysis: Nacua is big. 1 overall pick and Docston, Coleman and Treadwell the next three players off the board. Rationale: Though already 23 years old, he did enough at Illinois and the combine to get a shot in the NFL. He missed almost the entirety of the 2022 season but dominated college football in 2021 with a 95-1606-9 receiving line. This is about the range I would expect to start considering him myself. That turned out to be a good decision. Dynasty Rookie Average Draft Position (ADP) 12-team (2016) The end of the first round is going to be a logjam of WRs. I agree to receive the "Fantasy Football Today Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. And dont compare him to Maurice Jones-Drew. Andy, Mike, and Jasons exclusive rookie rankings, recent long shot wager on his landing spot. With my own pick at 2.03, I went with Jahan Dotson over Jalen Tolbert and also considered Tyrion Davis-Price and Dameon Pierce at this spot. Rookie Draft Season for a lot of leagues has come and gone, but I still have several leagues of my own that have not yet drafted. He has also put some good things on tape at training camp so far, and I feel the best about his prospects here. NFL Draft: Falcons Finish Rookie Class with 7th-Round Pair Analysis: Ibrahim was as productive a Big-10 back as youll find when he was on the field, posting an amazing 4,668 yards and 53 touchdowns on 867 careers carries. Jalin Hyatt, WR, Tennessee11. First-Round Rookie Mock (Predictions . Best Fantasy Football Podcast. This feels like a backup RB pick, and Im not looking for backup RBs in the early second. Analysis: Thompson-Robinson is a decent athlete who posted decent passing numbers and won his share of games in his five-year career at UCLA. A great way to prepare for any draft is to try a mock beforehand. Others focussed on physical traits and upside. NFL mock draft 2024: Caleb Williams, Drake Maye drive early look If he gets past the injuries, hell pay off well in the fourth round. . (Well, a few at least.) 12 and took Boyd, and I like his upside landing in Cincinnati. If he were bigger, folks would be talking up his impressive speed and his 647 rushing yards. Rationale: At this point, you need productivity or upside. Analysis: Gray, smaller and slower than youd prefer, did handle a heavy workload and post a dominant rushing season in Norman as a 23-year old. Levis will be drafted early, meaning he, like the others, will see an NFL field early. Rationale: Flowers stock is rising but the No. You probably won't want to draft from this. His film isnt impressive either, and there is a ton of development that still needs to happen for Richardson to be a successful NFL QB. He might have enough athleticism that a team will take a chance on him as a UDFA. They are my two top-rated players in this class from the wide receiver position. Hell get on the field and do a good job catch short-to-medium passes. 2.05- Tank Bigsby, RB, Auburn Rationale: With little productivity to go on and recurring foot injuries, hes all projection. No. If that happens, take the QB discount and come back later for nearly-comparable receivers and backs in the second and beyond. The first real zig came at 3.04 with the selection of Kyle Phillips. He ran 4.42 at the combine and by all accounts, has positively transformed his body during the pre-draft process. My favorite pick of this round was obviously Skyy Moore at 2.01. Capping off the first round is Boston College WR Zay Flowers. As will happen in the upcoming NFL draft, four QBs went early in first round. His senior season nearly mirrored those of Boston Colleges much-heralded Zay Flowers, but Perry didnt break out until he was almost 22 years old. With average size and athleticism but a strong Burst and Catch Radius, he is a good pick in the third round. A PlayerProfiler favorite, Phillips has great short area quickness. This is our first look at a superflex rookie mock draft for August 2022. For that reason, I have a hard time ranking Richardson ahead of Stroud or Young in this format. Data from 2551 fantasy football mock drafts between May 25, 2016 and September 2, 2016. Analysis: Washington is huge. Zach Charbonnet, RB, UCLA11. View current ADP data. 2023 Superflex Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft 2.0 - Footballguys Richardson will outrun all of them. Spiller. Best Rookie Quarterbacks (QB) 2023 Fantasy | Draft Sharks Hes an okay pick here. Gerv26 ending up with an Olave and Tolbert start and then following that up with Greg Dulcich, Romeo Doubs, and Trestan Ebner is another team that did some nice things here. A very interesting round especially at the top. Kincaid is a bit older than youd prefer as hes approaching 24, but he pulled in eight touchdowns each of the past two seasons. Draft him for upside, especially if you liked that one-handed catch at the NFL Combine. Josh Downs, WR, North Carolina2. Our first rookie-only mock of 2023 was a two-round Superflex mock completed on Monday. Note: This data is archived from 2016. 2023 Superflex Rookie Mock Draft 1.0 - Footballguys Learn more. For more on some of these players, we talked on the new Fantasy Footballers Dynasty Podcast about the following: We also have our Rookie Profile series highlighting every top prospect leading into next weeks 2023 NFL Draft. The 215-pound back can do it all and is widely considered one of the best RB prospects ever. Stroud, QB, Ohio State5. I really liked what I saw from Ty Chandler in his preseason debut, in particular. His 97th-percentile College Target Share and short targets masked an uninspiring 80.2 (13th-percentile) Speed Score. Fantasy Football 2023: Dynasty Rookie Rankings, 1st-Round Mock After This is too early for Jones. Analysis: Nothing to see here. Analysis: Hutchinson earned AP All-American 1st Team honors on the strength of 107 catches, third in the NCAA, and 1,171 receiver yards on a monster 163 targets. Tillman isn't being nearly talked about enough and would be an excellent snag in RD 2. pic.twitter.com/g3ctzeZOiz Analysis: Where did this guy come from? 5.01 Calvin Austin III @TheFFPresident. That three-RB start could really remake a running back room for a fantasy squad. But one of the benefits of adding an elite QB to your Dynasty squad, especially in Superflex, is that he is going to get three or four years to prove himself as a passer. Sure, hes tiny, but Tank never missed a game. His production suffered a bit from poor QB play in college, but he is as impressive as they come in the slot. Only 1 QB came off the board in the 1st-round of the 2022 NFL Draft. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. 2.03- Dalton Kincaid, TE, Utah For in-season advice, use our rankings to find out Who should I start? 2016 Rookie Mock Draft - Dynasty League Football His film isnt impressive either, and there is a ton of development that still needs to happen for Richardson to be a successful NFL QB. Rationale: I like this pick. Quentin Johnson, WR, TCU8. Its that time, folks! The only notable difference is that Charbonnet had no Robinson in front of him so saw twice the workload. Here is a recent SuperFlex Dynasty Rookie draft I participated in. Not boasting extraordinary Agility metrics, he might be a best fit for an outside zone scheme where he can build up speed, turn and strike. At 1.05, the top WR in the class comes off the board in Ohio States Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He is highly accurate and has the arm strength to make every NFL throw. He had a very impressive preseason game and feels like he has a legit shot to be their No. Thor Nystrom's . Let's take a look at the rankings for rookies like Jahmyr Gibbs, Zay Flowers, Jordan Addison, Dalton Kincaid and Zach Charbonnet. He was decent in the red zone but showed little else. I picked Abram Smith, and he feels like another guy that should not have been available at this point in the draft. Analysis: This is a Superflex miracle at 1.06 because Stroud is a top-2 QB in most drafts. He posted 85h-percentile and above metrics across the board. Hell have to get rid of the ball quicker, having taken the 2nd-most sacks in the SEC. He's behind both the running backs (Hall and Walker) and the Tier 1 receivers. Now that the 2016 NFL draft is behind us, those of us in dynasty formats can look forward to our annual rookie drafts. My own pick at 3.03 of Zamir White really felt like a no-brainer. There were several more timer expired picks later in the round that helped the likes of Malik Willis and Pierre Strong Jr. fall further than Ive seen in most superflex drafts. Unless Im set at WR, though, Id favor one of the remaing higher-tier receivers like Jordan Addison or Quentin Johnston. Will Levis, QB, Kentucky10. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: fantasynews | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | Hell be a set-and-forget fantasy QB starter for years. Browns a good fourth round pick. Richardson is the most athletic QB prospect ever, literally. Though he only had one breakout season and did not measure as particularly agile, he put up the numbers against the toughest competition. Hes also s not particularly athletic but was a dominant college producer, a solid route runner with strong hands, and broke out as an 18-year old. Hes big enough for the NFL at 5-11, 215 pounds and boasted a stunning 7.4 (95th-percentile) College YPC. Let the QB run begin! A big back with 88th-percentile speed and a closest comp of Tyrion Davis-Price, he might be drafted late or UDFAed but Ill look elsewhere for my fantasy teams. Others showed physical traits. Check it out: The analysts who participated in this mock are: Joel Cox, CBS SportsAdam Aizer, CBS SportsJamey Eisenberg, CBS SportsDan Schneier, CBS SportsR.J. 1.01 Kenneth Walker III @TheFFPresident. At Louisville in 2022, Jawhar Jordan and Malik Cunningham took almost all the rushing attempts, leaving just 83 for Evans. Hes not a pass catcher, though, so hell need carries to be fantasy-relevant. Analysis: If you want a slightly-smaller back who has carried a college load and can catch passes, Tucker is worth a flyer. 3.10- Dewayne Washington, TE, Georgia Then he might get a chance to be on the field. 1 - Analysis. We want upside RBs at the back of our rosters. 2016. His workout metrics are so impressive he even bests Kyle Pitts. With the uncertainty of the Kamara situation, and being unsure if Mark Ingram has anything left in the tank, it feels like an even better selection. We did see our first quarterback go as Kenny Pickett was drafted at 2.06. Nice pick! Its an open question, though, if hes a great football player or just a great athlete. 1 overall. His NFL-ready arm and prototypical size make him the safest bet of the QB crop. Rationale: With a good shot at sizable workload and red zone work, hes a solid pick in the second round. Superflex Rookie Mock Draft! - PlayerProfiler Flowers sits near the top of the second WR tier with Jordan Addison and Quentin Johnston. He sees the field like a pro, regularly throwing his receivers open. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State7. Analysis: Kuntz is certainly big enough and boasts one of the greatest athletic profiles youll ever see at TE. Analysis: From Dallas Goederts old stomping grounds, Kraft had a solid 2021 as a Jackrabbit but then faded back into the background as a 5th-year senior. 3.07- Kayshon Boutte, WR, LSU 2023 Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft - NFL Draft 2023 What has NFL teams excited about Levis is his remarkable physique and rocket arm. Desmond Ridder going off the board as QB2 in this draft was not much of a surprise, and then Dameon Pierce and Zamir White went back to back. Fantasy Football: 2022 Rookie Mock Draft - Sports Illustrated This will allow you to still draft a high-end asset at a position with more value longevity while adding additional value elsewhere. Rationale: While he may not have the ceiling of Richardson, he also doesnt have the floor. The top QBs are gone. You don't currently have any notifications. All Rights Reserved. I feel like Smith fits that mold in a big way. Superflex Mocks Ben Cummins on 3/31/23 Dave Kluge and others on 3/9/23 Alfredo Brown on 3/8/23 Kyle Yates on 2/21/23 Fresh off the 2023 NFL Combine, rookie values are all over the board, and dynasty managers are getting ready for their own rookie draft. . at The guys 5-5 and 179 pounds. Though not especially fast or strong, Spears posted a 6.9 (91st-percentile) College YPC. His College Dominator was in the 16th-percentile. Analysis: Wilson, a PlayerProfiler favorite, has good size especially relative to much of this class and solid athletic measurables across the board. 2.07- Zach Evans, RB, Ole Miss 2.09- Marvin Mims, WR, Oklahoma In his rookie year, Williams will play second fiddle . Nice pick here. Oh, wait, that comp makes me give serious consideration to Levis here! Speaking of high-end assets available at 1.02-1.04, the trio of quarterbacks is next up. Bigsby is big enough and contributes in all phases of the game. Dont cant compare him to Darren Sproles Sproles weighed 190. Rationale: Its hard to envision Durham becoming relevant. PLAYERPROFILER ROOKIE MOCK DRAFT - SUPERFLEX - August 2022 No. However, it sounds like he may have an uphill battle to make the team, so this pick looks like a possible waste of a pick. A great choice at 1.06, I couldnt hit the Draft button for Stroud fast enough. I also expect Isaiah Spiller to be more of an early Round 2 pick in most drafts, but I have seen him go in the late first in a handful of drafts that Ive participated in. Id try something else here. His 4.43 40-yard dash at 244 pounds at the NFL Combine wowed the masses, and he even shined in the throwing portion, showcasing his massive arm. Here, we dipped further into the tight end pool and tried to target running backs and receivers that show some trait that can get them on the field. And hes not even really fast. The Draft Sharks staff has been studying this rookie class all offseason and is ready to put together some pre-draft superflex dynasty rookie rankings. He ranked No. Bryce Young, QB, Alabama3. NFL Draft: First Round Fantasy Breakdown. 469 SF TEP Rookie Mock Draft | Post 2023 NFL Draft, #NerdHerd Ep. 200 1QB PPR TEP Rookie Mock Draft. Rationale: With a best comp of DeVonta Smith, some upside is there. It's part of the one-of-a-kind Premium Membership! 2.1 WR George Pickens, Georgia. Gibbs has shown tremendous ability as a pass-catcher which should get fantasy managers excited to add him to their rosters. But playing college slot doesnt carry the stigma it used to. Thats one reason Gibbs closest comp is C.J. He could lead all quarterbacks in rushing his first year as a starter and it would not be a shock to anyone. I have seen a handful of analysts out there that have Kenneth Walker as the top overall pick, but in most circles thats extremely spicy. 1.06- Will Levis, QB, Kentucky Dalton Kincaid, TE, Utah7. This pick may raise some eyebrows for some, but few players are gaining first-round NFL Draft buzz with more steam than Tennessee signal caller Hendon Hooker. Here's a two-round rookie mock for dynasty superflex leagues that incorporates results from Night 1 of the 2023 NFL Draft. Unlike Stroud and Young, Richardson isnt accomplished or experienced as a college player starting only 13 games in college. He was a very nice college football player. Next up, we have a pair of wide receivers. Young is a magician in the pocket; when a play breaks down and requires improvisation, Young is among the best youll ever see. He blew up in 2021 with 73 catches for 692 yards but then fell back in an injury-shortened 2022, with just 12 catches in five games. I just wish we had an example ever of a quarterback his size playing and thriving or, for that matter, even holding up to NFL hits. Cody Carpentier went with Matt Corral in the middle of the round. The other WR considered at 1.08 now comes off the board at 1.09, TCUs Quentin Johnston. If you want to take a flyer on an athlete at TE, Musgrave is fine. 7 overall pick. See Daniel Jones and Sam Darnold. Losing part of 2020 and almost all of 2021 to injury, its fair to wonder how that workload has affected his 5-8, 203-pound frame. Johnson is a nice later-first round pick. Two running back lottery tickets were also selected in this final round in Trestan Ebner and Jashaun Corbin. You probably won't want to draft from this. He then burst out again in 2021 with 509 yards and nine scores in the first six games. @TheFFPresident ended up with a really nice team. While little has been asked of him a pass catcher, his NFL bell cow size, speed and burst his 1.52 Ten-yard Split tied for No. Hull offers the upside I just mentioned in talking about Perry. Post Draft: Winners & Losers Veteran RBs, Hanging in the Balance: Post Draft TE Winners and Losers, Round One Draft Grades of the 2023 NFL Draft, Jake Olivers 2nd and 3rd Round NFL Mock Draft, #NerdHerd Ep. Not worth drafting. You can look for guys that are likely to get on the field but, at this point, go for the highest upside you can find, accepting that the floor will be the more likely outcome. Call the Tennessee offense gimmick if you want, but Hooker completed almost 70-percent of passes with 58 passing touchdowns and only five interceptions in his two SEC seasons. They certainly all look like steals in Round 4 currently. Phillips has received glowing reviews during training camp and has quickly moved to taking his reps with the first team offense. The problem is, it didnt. This QB class currently looks very underwhelming, and that is evidenced by only one quarterback going in the first 24 picks of a superflex draft. 3.06- Evan Hull, RB, Northwestern At pick 1.07, Kentucky QB Will Levis is the selection. The 2023 NFL Draft is in the rear view, and now it's time to get ready for your fantasy football drafts. In Lincoln, he flourished. 3rd of 103 sites Preseason IDP Rankings. 6-keys: media/fantasynews/nfl/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. My concern with Richardson is that he could be bad enough as a passer that his leash is not near that long. Stroud and Bryce Young! John Metchie Advanced Stats & Metrics Profile. Analysis: Wow! While he didnt get much pub at Wake Forest, he did lead the team by a wide margin in both receiving yards and scores his final two seasons. Rationale: With 80th-or-better athletic measurables, an 96th-percentile Catch Radius and near 80-percent Catch Rate, hes a decent gamble late in the 4th. Join millions of players today onSLEEPER, the #1 fantasy football platform. In his first 21 games at ODU, he had one catch. Now almost 22 years old, he leaves college with a total of 90 career carries and 10 receptions. Stroud falling to Dan Schneier at No. 04/30/2023. Thats two more than I did. But hes been a winner on the biggest of stages and some coaches seem to value the winner/grinder mindset as much as talent, figuring theyll coach them up the rest of the way.
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